Radford Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 I looked at the fixtures last week for someone and agree with the projections above but they've managed to go nearly two decades without giving the Old Firm anything but 19/19, so can't see them starting now. In 2011/12, they swapped four of Saints' five games around when there was no requirement to avoid such a thing happening and give us the 18/20 split, despite the fact, IIRC, that the fixtures fell so that giving it so Celtic involved much less shuffling and they had the league won, whilst Saints were right in the battle for Euro places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radford Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Here is the list of uneven splits since it's introduction. They claim they try to balance it up, although as hinted at above, I'm sceptical as to whether the Old Firm would ever be impacted. 20/18 Splits 3 occasions: Aberdeen (05/06, 07/08, 09/10) 1 occasion: St Johnstone (01/02) ICT (04/05) Falkirk (06/07) Killie (11/12) Hibernian (13/14) Dundee (14/15) 18/20 Splits 2 occasions: Aberdeen (04/05, 13/14) Killie (06/07, 14/15) 1 occasion: Livingston (01/02) ICT (05/06) Gretna (07/08) Motherwell (09/10) St Johnstone (11/12) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thisGRAEME Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 On 3/6/2017 at 14:00, Ya Bezzer! said: Your Handy Points/Chance of Finishing 1 pt above 11th Chart (based on league tables since 2000-2001). 42 pts - 100% chance of finishing 1 point above 11th. 41 pts - 94% 40 pts - 81% 39 pts - 81% 38 pts - 75% 37 pts - 69% 36 pts - 56% 35 pts - 50% 34 pts - 44% 33 pts - 7% 32 pts - 0% So, for example, based on points totals from the past 16 seasons, Inverness would require to win 13 points from the available 33 points to have a 50% chance of finishing outside the bottom two. So, beating Inverness and Accies twice, and three points from anywhere else? Easy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
C4mmy31 Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Dunno whether it's best here or in a new thread but I had a look at the projected top 6 / bottom 6 post split fixtures. I've taken the brave assumption that one of Thistle, Killie, or Dundee will occupy 6th spot come 16th April, and the less brave assumption that the current top 5 will also be there. I've done this every year since we've come up and there seems to be a huge amount of swaps this year, I'm guessing because Rangers took over Dundee United's fixtures? Anyway, attached top 6 and bottom 6 fixtures due with what I would think would be the easiest methods of equalising fixtures but if Thistle or Dundee finish top 6 then I can't see a way to get it 19-19 for everyone. In both screenshots the top table is if Thistle finish 6th, then Killie , then Dundee. That's exactly what happened to Killie. We've played one game more away from home in 2 of the last 3 seasons.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killiepiemuncher Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 That's exactly what happened to Killie. We've played one game more away from home in 2 of the last 3 seasons.... Don't grumble about that, we're shite at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DublinMagyar Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Don't grumble about that, we're shite at home. You do see the obvious "FTFY" moment there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killiepiemuncher Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Do enlighten me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindeleux Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Here is the list of uneven splits since it's introduction. They claim they try to balance it up, although as hinted at above, I'm sceptical as to whether the Old Firm would ever be impacted.20/18 Splits 3 occasions: Aberdeen (05/06, 07/08, 09/10) 1 occasion: St Johnstone (01/02) ICT (04/05) Falkirk (06/07) Killie (11/12) Hibernian (13/14) Dundee (14/15) 18/20 Splits 2 occasions: Aberdeen (04/05, 13/14) Killie (06/07, 14/15) 1 occasion: Livingston (01/02) ICT (05/06) Gretna (07/08) Motherwell (09/10) St Johnstone (11/12) You'll notice that of all the clubs fucked over by the split only two have never been relegated since the split was brought in.That's what big clubs do.Quick quiz question about the split:Name one club who finished top 6 and never played a top flight game again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindeleux Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Don't grumble about that, we're shite You do see the obvious "FTFY" moment there? Do enlighten me. FTFY and enlightened you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killiepiemuncher Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Ta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RawB93 Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 You'll notice that of all the clubs fucked over by the split only two have never been relegated since the split was brought in.That's what big clubs do.Quick quiz question about the split:Name one club who finished top 6 and never played a top flight game again? Rangers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thistledo Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 County v Thistle in April is a massive six pointer, win for County and I could see a top six challenge from them. But absolutely no chance if we beat them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Les Westander of County Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 2 hours ago, thistledo said: County v Thistle in April is a massive six pointer, win for County and I could see a top six challenge from them. But absolutely no chance if we beat them. I trust you'll do the decent thing then, and roll over to have your tummies tickled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bunglebonce Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 4 hours ago, thistledo said: County v Thistle in April is a massive six pointer, win for County and I could see a top six challenge from them. But absolutely no chance if we beat them. County optimistically need to win three of the four remaining games, because their last pre-game split is vs Celtic, with Thistle and others shitting the bed. The fairytale is over for this season I'm afraid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thistledo Posted March 23, 2017 Share Posted March 23, 2017 20 hours ago, Les Westander of County said: I trust you'll do the decent thing then, and roll over to have your tummies tickled. Just try a little harder in the last ten minutes, we'll defo give you a goal at least. 18 hours ago, bunglebonce said: County optimistically need to win three of the four remaining games, because their last pre-game split is vs Celtic, with Thistle and others shitting the bed. The fairytale is over for this season I'm afraid. Next three games are all very winnable IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankthetank22 Posted March 23, 2017 Share Posted March 23, 2017 18 minutes ago, thistledo said: Just try a little harder in the last ten minutes, we'll defo give you a goal at least. Next three games are all very winnable IMO. Partick Thistle (A) Dundee (H) Hamilton (A) Hmmmm I'd settle for not losing any of them tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherrif John Bunnell Posted March 23, 2017 Share Posted March 23, 2017 We'll be lucky to take one point from those 3 games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
C4mmy31 Posted March 24, 2017 Share Posted March 24, 2017 You'll notice that of all the clubs fucked over by the split only two have never been relegated since the split was brought in.That's what big clubs do.Quick quiz question about the split:Name one club who finished top 6 and never played a top flight game again? Gretna ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrestersKTID Posted March 24, 2017 Share Posted March 24, 2017 35 minutes ago, C4mmy31 said: Gretna ? Livingston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
C4mmy31 Posted March 24, 2017 Share Posted March 24, 2017 Livingston Cool, I only took a stab in the dark with Gretna lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.