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LongTimeLurker

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About LongTimeLurker

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  1. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    Farage and co are not going to go away obviously, but a huge chunk of Leave voters never wanted a Hard Brexit so now that Theresa May has finally been forced to follow what rationality dictates rather than pandering any further to the crazier portion of Leave opinion I think it will be difficult to reverse the momentum towards a soft Brexit revolving around a Canada style free trade deal with a transition period extended until it can be fully implemented.
  2. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    Great article on what has happened from Dublin, although think he's wrong about the DUP at the end not getting what they want: https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-ireland-has-just-saved-the-uk-from-the-madness-of-a-hard-brexit-1.3320096?mode=amp The last thing an Irish nationalist is ever going to be able to state is that the DUP have come out on top as a zero sum game mentality still very much applies that precludes the possibility of both FG and the DUP being justifiably happy with what has just unfolded. It will no doubt be much the same from a Unionist perspective in the News Letter on how the RoI has to have lost in some way. Overall though the RoI-NI border has been the issue on which the Hard Brexit of the "swivel-eyed loons" and their "great blue yonder of Empire 2.0" has foundered and thank fork for that.
  3. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    Not a lot changes from how things are now in many ways, beyond the probable eventual ability to apply a work visa regime onto newcomers from the EU as Canada is still able to do under its free trade deal. For the more moderate soft Brexit type leavers that was important as it means no future huge influx from the continent similar to the wave of Polish workers after eastward expansion. That's why there isn't a huge backlash coming from Tories so far, only from Ukipers.
  4. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    They need to have a no customs tariff environment to make this fly through a Canada style free trade deal and the text would help keep policies aligned in an EEA type arrangement loose enough to keep all but the most extreme UKIP nutters happy in optics terms. Checks at Rosslare tie into the Common Travel Area and not being in Schengen, so no change there.
  5. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    I'll take that as a yes. More cerebral SNP supporters already grasp that what is happening is very good news for them and that the prospects of the Yes side winning a future referendum have been significantly enhanced. I suggest you find what they are writing: https://wingsoverscotland.com/the-lesson/
  6. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    Disappointed there was a solution that you can't turn into a turgid Nationalist vs Unionist thing? All that's changed is that May caved in and now is agreeing to what is effectively a soft Brexit because the policies that would have applied to NI to keep the border soft now apply across the UK, so the Irish Sea boundary is also soft as well now.
  7. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    He has well and truly spat the dummy. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/08/brexit-deal-nigel-farage-says-deal-not-acceptable-business-leaders/
  8. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    Basically that's what Norway already does and it's what people meant by a soft Brexit, but it probably all has to be dressed up as a Canada style free trade deal rather than the EEA to stop Nigel and co gaining too much political traction again. Given the UK was largely disengaged from the EU and had opt out after opt out, hopefully not a lot changes once the dust settles at least if you are not taking advantage of freedom of movement on a regular basis.
  9. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    It's the EU that have got what they wanted given they negotiate collectively and it was only their willingness to give the RoI a veto that gave Varadkar the negotiating power. Biggest losers in the short to medium terms if this sticks will be Sinn Fein if there is no special status for NI and an ongoing soft border. That kills the border question which is their raison d'etre as an issue for most people and punts UI off into the distant future in political career terms and makes a failure to agree to a resumption of power sharing difficult to justify. Only fly in the ointment for Ulster Unionism at that point is Scotland because paradoxically what Arlene Foster has been able to engineer courtesy of the numbers balance after Theresa May's bungled snap election really helps the SNP to achieve its goals.
  10. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    If they can negotiate an EEA style free trade over the next few months, which should be relatively easy as the UK already complies as an existing EU member, and dress it up in language that makes it look like the UK is out in some way when it is really effectively in but now with no say whatsoever in EU institutions the problems get fixed and the NI-RoI border can be like Norway-Sweden with the Common Travel Area used to claim there is effective immigration control. Interesting person to watch over the next few days is Nigel Farage and how mental he gets. Tories defecting to UKIP to insist on a real Brexit is what can most quickly scuttle this.
  11. Brexit slowly becoming a Farce.

    If I understand what just happened this is slowly turning into a soft Brexit in all but name, because Westminster politicians have finally faced reality of how much power and influence they really have nowadays. Looks like the DUP did something good for the rest of the UK when they insisted that anything that applied to NI had to happen elsewhere as well. Eliminating the east-west barrier keeps the Union more secure where NI is concerned, but not with Scotland because it puts independence for Scotland in the EU back on the agenda again as a viable alternative for the referendum swinging pragmatists, if hard borders are no longer in play, so I suspect Nicola Sturgeon is doing cartwheels around her office in metaphorical terms right now.
  12. Kelty Hearts & the EOS League

    Vaguely remember that they got knocked back by the SoS so had to go to the EoS instead, but in the not so distant past the EoS league had teams as far west as Dalbeattie Star and Threave Rovers in D&G terms, so there doesn't seem to have been a fixed boundary.
  13. The DUP to stand candidates in Scotland

    Almost certainly made up as the number of votes they would get would be comically low and they will be well aware of that, but somebody responded seriously again after welshbairn, so thought it was worth posing the question again.
  14. The DUP to stand candidates in Scotland

    When I put "DUP stand in Scotland" into a websearch, what I get back as the second link is this thread. Can anyone provide a link for what this is based on?
  15. The DUP to stand candidates in Scotland

    source?
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