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sgm2

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  1. If people have an issue with the "morals" of court siding then what about the "morals" of bookies who take bets on a team who are say 5/4 knowing they and 6/4 and up elsewhere. Bookmakers know the score and know the battle they are in.
  2. RE the Betfair strategy the best way is to price the event/ market and then add in your margin the same as bookmakers. This way if you are accurate you will make a steady %. If it is a one off and/ or you have time the method Nightmare suggested is the best way.
  3. A few years back I put £200 on Alloa to win the 3rd Division and rolled over my free £200 (Bet365) six times by backing a 1st goalscorer who was suspended. The bets were void and it counted towards releasing the money. I'm sure someone on here recommended it.
  4. Does anyone here keep a ratings system? If so how do you work out a teams home superiority. There are many ways to do it (Points, Goals, Modified Score etc) but the principles will be the same. Also, I still can find a decent stats web-site. www.football.co.uk is ok but it appears to stop recording the SFL stats prior to last season. Any help would be appreciated.
  5. Just shots on goal/ on target, corners and possession etc.
  6. Can anyone advise the best place to obtain match stats (football) for the English and Scottish lower leagues? I usually use Soccerbase but don't think they have what im looking for here.
  7. I would make sure McBookie take your bet 1st as they have a £50 max on match singles.
  8. Anyone heading to Perth Races this week? I'll be there Thurs/ Fri can't wait. Looking at todays card there may be a bit of value in the following: 16.05: Blenheim Brook (5/1) 16.40: Nine Stories (8/1) I'm a great believer in horses for course and both won here on the opening day last season on simliar ground/ distance.
  9. I don't think that would work because you can't bet on the Juniors online. Also, generally when you stake anything over £50/100 they have to phone in the bet to head office. I would assume they would click on at this stage. Man City under 0.5 is 150/1 but I wouldn't go for that.
  10. Hills have a minimum trebles rule in the Juniors so if I want to do a single what are the best guarentees to add in? IE Holland (+1) v San Marino 1/1000 etc. My mate has been caught out before where he got the 5/2 single but added Arsenal (+1) at home to West Brom at 1/200. They lost 3-2!
  11. Ok I understand. I'd still like to know the staking plan from the original post (about betting on all 46 games). Its explained but I got slightly lost and just need it confirmed.
  12. I'm looking to try out this method of backing and laying all 46 games (maybe with one league to start with and with obviously lower stakes). Can you please provide an example of what bets you would look to get matched based on 6/5 Blackburn 23/10 Bolton 3/1? (Edit: And also what you stake for each selection) You also mentioned that you only get 20% or so bets matched. What if your back gets matched but the lay doesn't on several games. Yes, you will have great value but the team still needs to win.
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