[ParT]

Thought I'd kick this off early since I'm bored at work.

Having lots of luck with BTTS bets lately. Here are the games I expect goals in after going through every game.
Games at: Norwich, Stoke, West Brom, Birmingham, Huddersfield & Preston.


QPR are at home to a poor wolves team, while a rejuvinated Sunderland can win at Stoke, which isn't quite the fortress it once was. Brentford and Falkirk can both win away from home, 2 sides who create plenty chances with Alexander & Alagui on good scoring streaks, respectively.
Sheffield Wednesday, Swindon & Aberdeen look good for home wins.
A couple of dodgier selections are Ross County to win at St Mirren and Bolton to win at Norwich.

Barcelona and Madrid on the -2 handicap also looks a fair shout.

[sergie's no1 fan]

County could be a good shout.

We have a couple of players missing. Imrie ( cup tied ) McLean and Goodwin ( might make it but very doubtful ). We are off form aswell with only 1 win in 10.

Also our cup record at SMP under Lennon is awful.We have fired blanks against Peterhead,Ayr and Hamilton.

Ross County are on a 17 game unbeaten run and will be full of confidence.County will want to prove they are good enough to compete with the SPL.

There is a good chance of County at least getting a draw here.

[Paris Hilltoon]

Try and avoid cup games so looking at England only for my main bets.

Everton 11/10 at Wigan on PP. I can't recall yesterdays price, but they're shortening. I'll shop around and hopefully pick up a better one.

Everton are a solid outfit and don't concede many. Have been excellent away from home and Jelavic is a great addition.

Hull 2/1 at Pompey, Admin looming, could galvanise but Hull don't seem to lose away from home against teams below them.

Ipswich 2/1 should be riding high after thumping West Ham, Coventry are rock bottom and have lost their star striker.

[vikingTON]

Motherwell -1 v Morton, evens at Paddy Power. Free money, as we have no available left-back, so will be playing four tall, slow centre-backs against fast wingers and Ojamaa. We should lose by at least three clear goals, and lost 5-0 to Inverness at this stage last season.

This post has been edited by vikingTON: 02 February 2012 - 21:10

[Marshmallo]

In Germany I like the look of Leverkusen at home to Stuttgart at 1.80. Leverkusen have taken 4 points in their 2 games since the winter break, with the draw making them 1 of only 2 teams to avoid defeat at Bremen this season. They've strengthened their side with the signing of Corluka this week. Stuttgart have lost their last 4 in the league, and have won only 1 of their last 10.

Schalke look a good bet at home to Mainz at 1.73. Schalke have won their last 5 in a row and have won 8 of their 10 home games in the league this season scoring 29 goals in the process, with one those 2 defeats to Bayern Munich. Mainz have only lost 3 of their away games this season but they've only played 2 of the top 6 away from home, losing to both of them. Schalke have only drawn once this season so the draw doesn't concern me too much.

This post has been edited by Marshmallo: 03 February 2012 - 13:07

[ihavecandygetinthevan]

I've got a 5er on QPR, Middlesbrough, Birmingham, Sheffield Wednesday & Newcastle (Sun). Returns £111.

[Aufc]

Arbroath are 4-5 to beat airdrie

Might go for that on the road to a G

[Nutbutt]

Was just browsing McBookie website and stumbled across East Stirling v Stranraer game as fancy a few gaols in that one.

Obviously an error but they are quoting 7/2 for over 1.5 goals!!!! Free money

[sgm2]

Nutbutt, on 03 February 2012 - 12:40, said:

Was just browsing McBookie website and stumbled across East Stirling v Stranraer game as fancy a few gaols in that one.

Obviously an error but they are quoting 7/2 for over 1.5 goals!!!! Free money

Superb spot my man. That's what this forum is all about!!

Will they have some sort of legal loophole that they can void bets if its a mistake? Surely not if they accepted the bet.

[Nutbutt]

Just been on again and it has been pulled.

They also had 11/4 for over 1.5 goals in the Elgin v Clyde match but that has been pulled as well. Somebody must have been on the pish last night!!!

Here is a copy of my selection:

Leg 1 Part 1 Class:ScotlandType:Scottish Football League Third DivisionEvent:E Stirling v StranraerVenue: Time:2012-02-04 15:00:00 MarketUnder/Over 1.5 GoalsOutcome:Over 1.5 GoalsPrice7/2Leg Sort: OUHandicap1.5Bets per Selection: 1Banker:NBIR:NResult:-Place:

What's even better is that the game won't be called off as East Stirling play on artificial surface. Happy days

[Virtual Insanity]

Marshmallo, on 03 February 2012 - 10:53, said:

In Germany I like the look of Leverkusen at home to Schalke at 1.80. Leverkusen have taken 4 points in their 2 games since the winter break, with the draw making them 1 of only 2 teams to avoid defeat at Bremen this season. They've strengthened their side with the signing of Corluka this week. Stuttgart have lost their last 4 in the league, and have won only 1 of their last 10.

Schalke look a good bet at home to Mainz at 1.73. Schalke have won their last 5 in a row and have won 8 of their 10 home games in the league this season scoring 29 goals in the process, with one those 2 defeats to Bayern Munich. Mainz have only lost 3 of their away games this season but they've only played 2 of the top 6 away from home, losing to both of them. Schalke have only drawn once this season so the draw doesn't concern me too much.

Had me worried at this point, against Stuttgart it seems much more reasonable. I still don't have that much confidence in Leverkusen for whatever reason, they do seem a bit hot and cold. Like the look of Schalke though, and two outside shots are Hannover at Hertha (21/10), mainly based on the fact Hertha are terrible, and Wolfsburg (21/10) at home to Moechengladbach. Wolfsburg are sticking in mid table purely on the basis of a solid home record (6W 1D 2L vs 1-1-8 away) and Moechengladbach are 5W 4L away from home.

Think I'll go for a Schalke/Wolfsburg double though.

[Marshmallo]

Virtual Insanity, on 03 February 2012 - 12:59, said:

Had me worried at this point, against Stuttgart it seems much more reasonable. I still don't have that much confidence in Leverkusen for whatever reason, they do seem a bit hot and cold. Like the look of Schalke though, and two outside shots are Hannover at Hertha (21/10), mainly based on the fact Hertha are terrible, and Wolfsburg (21/10) at home to Moechengladbach. Wolfsburg are sticking in mid table purely on the basis of a solid home record (6W 1D 2L vs 1-1-8 away) and Moechengladbach are 5W 4L away from home.

Think I'll go for a Schalke/Wolfsburg double though.

Good spot, have edited the post. For me that bet is motivated more by Stuttgart being horsehit for the best part of two years than anything else. I made a fair bit backing against them last season as their opponents seem to be overpriced fairly often, possibly due to people still thinking that Stuttgart are a decent side based on 3-4 years ago. Gladbach are a team I'd avoid backing against this season, although I can see why you'd feel there is good value to be had there.

[Virtual Insanity]

It's a tough one. Borussia are very well organised and only conceded 5 goals away from home all season, so it will be close but there is definitely good value in Wolfsburg, although having said all that I really don't rate Wolfsburg and I do like Borussia but their results at home are very solid.

[guinness]

What about your views on the nuremberg game? Any pointers greatly appreciated, seeing it's free tonight on espn

[Virtual Insanity]

Hard to look past Dortmund, who are flying after a slow start to the season. Gotze is injured now but Blaszczykowski came in last week and looked a very capable replacement. Nuremberg have the potential to be pretty good on their day though, they humped Leverkusen away a few weeks back. If pushed I would go for Dortmund but 8/13 is not very generous.

This post has been edited by Virtual Insanity: 03 February 2012 - 16:05

[forehead7]

BET365 have a decent offer running, place a pre-match bet on Liverpool/Spurs and get a free in-play bet of the same amount, up to 50 quid.

Did it with Man City/Liverpool a while back, twas profitable.

[guinness]

Virtual Insanity, on 03 February 2012 - 16:00, said:

Hard to look past Dortmund, who are flying after a slow start to the season. Gotze is injured now but Blaszczykowski came in last week and looked a very capable replacement. Nuremberg have the potential to be pretty good on their day though, they humped Leverkusen away a few weeks back. If pushed I would go for Dortmund but 8/13 is not very generous.

Cheers, i'll have a wee look at an in-running bet.

[C. Muir]

Nutbutt, on 03 February 2012 - 12:54, said:

They also had 11/4 for over 1.5 goals in the Elgin v Clyde match but that has been pulled as well. Somebody must have been on the pish last night!!!

Off now anyway but we don't concede many nor score many, we've also kept a clean sheet in our last 3 visits up there. Price would've probably been about right.

[Distant Doonhamer]

I've put a small wager on Ryan McGuffie to score at anytime against Aberdeen tomorrow.
Odds are 22/1with bet365 and given he now takes our pens I thought it worth a bet.
Still to have close look for a more serious bet.

This post has been edited by Distant Doonhamer: 03 February 2012 - 18:34

[C. Muir]

Inspections due for every single Scottish 2nd division game tomorrow with Elgin v Clyde already being postponed. Think I read about an inspection at Ayr aswell.

Probably wait till mid tomorrow afternoon before even looking at a coupon. Can't see the inspections surviving.

[Kris.]

Looking to back us at Ayr tomorrow, but there's a pitch inspection in the morning, so will hold off until it's confirmed the game is definitely on.

[Jordo1872]

Virtual Insanity, on 03 February 2012 - 16:00, said:

Hard to look past Dortmund, who are flying after a slow start to the season. Gotze is injured now but Blaszczykowski came in last week and looked a very capable replacement. Nuremberg have the potential to be pretty good on their day though, they humped Leverkusen away a few weeks back. If pushed I would go for Dortmund but 8/13 is not very generous.

I'd agree with that. Hard to look past Dortmund given recent form and they are capable of scoring a few tonight. 6/4 on the -1 handicap is tempting with a free bet from bet365.

[GypsyTillIDie]

Tenner on Everton DNB against Wigan.

[vikingTON]

GypsyTillIDie, on 03 February 2012 - 19:22, said:

Tenner on Everton DNB against Wigan.

Price?

[forehead7]

Marshmallo, on 03 February 2012 - 10:53, said:

In Germany I like the look of Leverkusen at home to Stuttgart at 1.80. Leverkusen have taken 4 points in their 2 games since the winter break, with the draw making them 1 of only 2 teams to avoid defeat at Bremen this season. They've strengthened their side with the signing of Corluka this week. Stuttgart have lost their last 4 in the league, and have won only 1 of their last 10.

Schalke look a good bet at home to Mainz at 1.73. Schalke have won their last 5 in a row and have won 8 of their 10 home games in the league this season scoring 29 goals in the process, with one those 2 defeats to Bayern Munich. Mainz have only lost 3 of their away games this season but they've only played 2 of the top 6 away from home, losing to both of them. Schalke have only drawn once this season so the draw doesn't concern me too much.

Have to agree about Schalke, came from behind against Cologne last week away from home and hammered them 4-1. I might stick a few quid on Monchengladback DNB though, they've been good for me this season.

Haven't looked at domestic yet, as C Muir says, I'll probably wait until around 2pm before selecting any.