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Midweek Betting 31rst-3rd Rate Topic: -----

#1
User is offline   guinness 

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Alloa 4/5 wi vc bet, £20 single.
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#2
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First time poster, long time reader as I use this forum to try and sniff a bit of value and knowledge out of the Scottish games.

I am a Cardiff fan so my championship knowledge is my best asset, although I am a regular football and horse punter so thought it would be worthwhile to sign up here.

My double for tonight is Hull / Burnley at a shade under 5/1

Reasons posted below.

This double returns slightly under 5/1 and backing the bet with modest stakes could see a healthy return. Football is a strange game but confidence is high on this double with Burnley in particular being overpriced.

Hull are a slender 8/15 against a Doncaster side who have lost 8 of their last 10 away games, including 6 on the bounce since a narrow 2-3 away victory at consistently inconsistent Ipswich. The loss of Billy Sharp will undoubtedly effect the players and Hull will want to avenge a poor defeat at home to Crawley in the cup. Most of Hull's home defeats have an explanation behind them, losing narrowly to Burnley and succumbing to West Ham, the two best performing travellers this season. Hull will compound Donny to 1 win in 7 with a victory tonight.

Burnley are an absolute steal in mathematical terms with odds of 21/10 being readily available if you search around. Nottingham Forest are toothless up front and with captain Wes Morgan on his way to Leicester I am backing the divisions second best away side to come away with all three points at the City ground. Burnley were unlucky not to take all 3 points against Leeds when they capitulated late on after an early (and harsh) red card for Kieran Trippier after taking the lead. Before that their last away defeat was at in-form Birmingham and since then they have dismissed West Ham, Middlesbrough and Brighton away from home. Burnley have the second best away record winning 7 of 13 games whilst Forest have the worst home record in the division, winning only three times this season at the City ground. For those reasons, the 21/10 about Burnley is GOOD VALUE.
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#3
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View Postguinness, on 30 January 2012 - 23:23, said:

Alloa 4/5 wi vc bet, £20 single.


I went to watch Alloa against Montrose on Saturday because my game was off and I had a few bets on it (Along with Alloa to win the league at Evs which is tremendous value). I have to say I wasn't overly impressed. They did seem to control the game but didn't create too many chances. In fact, if their keeper hadn't made a miraculous save (with the very bottom of his studs) where the Montrose striker appeared to have rounded him, it would have been very interesting.
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#4
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Liverpool
Man City
Southampton
Blackpool


MK Dons
Burnley
Birmingham

This post has been edited by ParT: 31 January 2012 - 16:07

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#5
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View PostMackMaster, on 31 January 2012 - 13:52, said:

First time poster, long time reader as I use this forum to try and sniff a bit of value and knowledge out of the Scottish games.

I am a Cardiff fan so my championship knowledge is my best asset, although I am a regular football and horse punter so thought it would be worthwhile to sign up here.

My double for tonight is Hull / Burnley at a shade under 5/1

Reasons posted below.

This double returns slightly under 5/1 and backing the bet with modest stakes could see a healthy return. Football is a strange game but confidence is high on this double with Burnley in particular being overpriced.

Hull are a slender 8/15 against a Doncaster side who have lost 8 of their last 10 away games, including 6 on the bounce since a narrow 2-3 away victory at consistently inconsistent Ipswich. The loss of Billy Sharp will undoubtedly effect the players and Hull will want to avenge a poor defeat at home to Crawley in the cup. Most of Hull's home defeats have an explanation behind them, losing narrowly to Burnley and succumbing to West Ham, the two best performing travellers this season. Hull will compound Donny to 1 win in 7 with a victory tonight.

Burnley are an absolute steal in mathematical terms with odds of 21/10 being readily available if you search around. Nottingham Forest are toothless up front and with captain Wes Morgan on his way to Leicester I am backing the divisions second best away side to come away with all three points at the City ground. Burnley were unlucky not to take all 3 points against Leeds when they capitulated late on after an early (and harsh) red card for Kieran Trippier after taking the lead. Before that their last away defeat was at in-form Birmingham and since then they have dismissed West Ham, Middlesbrough and Brighton away from home. Burnley have the second best away record winning 7 of 13 games whilst Forest have the worst home record in the division, winning only three times this season at the City ground. For those reasons, the 21/10 about Burnley is GOOD VALUE.


Sounds pretty good, I've backed it as well since my selections of late have been poor.
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#6
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View PostParT, on 31 January 2012 - 16:03, said:

Liverpool
Man City
Southampton
Blackpool


MK Dons
Burnley
Birmingham



Just as an objective(ish) Cardiff fan, I can say I wouldn't be backing Southampton at even money tonight, we (Cardiff) are the hardest team to beat in the league with only 4 losses, two away from home being Hull (very depleted squad that day) and P'boro (our bogey team for the last few seasons). We have a fully fit squad and are on a good run of form and have lost one game in 17 (in the league, 2-3 home defeat to Boro. It will be a tough game tonight but one to leave off the accumulator, both teams to score is a certainty. 1-1 Draw.

This post has been edited by MackMaster: 31 January 2012 - 16:50

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#7
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Its definitely the game most likely to let me down, but with Lambert back I think they can dig out a narrow win. Been impressed by Cardiff this season, though. Both teams to score is pretty much gauranteed. Cheers for the insight though.
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#8
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View PostParT, on 31 January 2012 - 16:56, said:

Its definitely the game most likely to let me down, but with Lambert back I think they can dig out a narrow win. Been impressed by Cardiff this season, though. Both teams to score is pretty much gauranteed. Cheers for the insight though.



Malky is doing an amazing job down here, the difference between him and Dave (Moans) Jones is unbelievable. Look at the stuff Bellamy is producing now and it certainly shows what a poor job Dave Jones did in managing our star filled squad last season.

My other bet's for interest tonight are.

Four Fould @ 19/1 - Birmingham, West Ham, Millwall, Alloa

BTTS / Goals Bet at 6/1 - Wolves v Liverpool YES, MK Dons v Sheff Weds YES, Southend v Swindon YES and Over 2.5 Goals in Barnsley vs Derby (10/11 tidy odds, Derby have tightened their back line but Barnsley can only play trying to outscore their opponents and 8 of their last 9 home fixtures have broken this barrier and their last 5 home games have seen at least 4 goals. Well worth a single backing in my opinion.)

Bale to score first vs Wigan @ 6/1

Good luck.
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#9
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Liverpool on a BTTS? Good luck.
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#10
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Spurs/Charlton/Alloa
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#11
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Spurs
Blackpool
Alloa

£10 treble. My first bet on the football for a few weeks now.

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#12
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£2 free BBTS on Southampton/Cardiff, Southend/Swindon, Swansea/Chelsea and Leeds/Birmingham returns 11.

View PostTurbo_dee, on 04 January 2012 - 09:39, said:

And that was not a good start, losing the Doctor at this stage of the game is pretty catastrophic, the Mafia will be creaming themselves after that kill. Particularly when the Doctor is as skilful a player as Forehead is.

View Postgordon the gopher, on 13 February 2012 - 13:11, said:

Aye Forehead does have an anger problem I feel
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#13
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View PostMackMaster, on 31 January 2012 - 13:52, said:

First time poster, long time reader as I use this forum to try and sniff a bit of value and knowledge out of the Scottish games.

I am a Cardiff fan so my championship knowledge is my best asset, although I am a regular football and horse punter so thought it would be worthwhile to sign up here.

My double for tonight is Hull / Burnley at a shade under 5/1

Reasons posted below.

This double returns slightly under 5/1 and backing the bet with modest stakes could see a healthy return. Football is a strange game but confidence is high on this double with Burnley in particular being overpriced.

Hull are a slender 8/15 against a Doncaster side who have lost 8 of their last 10 away games, including 6 on the bounce since a narrow 2-3 away victory at consistently inconsistent Ipswich. The loss of Billy Sharp will undoubtedly effect the players and Hull will want to avenge a poor defeat at home to Crawley in the cup. Most of Hull's home defeats have an explanation behind them, losing narrowly to Burnley and succumbing to West Ham, the two best performing travellers this season. Hull will compound Donny to 1 win in 7 with a victory tonight.

Burnley are an absolute steal in mathematical terms with odds of 21/10 being readily available if you search around. Nottingham Forest are toothless up front and with captain Wes Morgan on his way to Leicester I am backing the divisions second best away side to come away with all three points at the City ground. Burnley were unlucky not to take all 3 points against Leeds when they capitulated late on after an early (and harsh) red card for Kieran Trippier after taking the lead. Before that their last away defeat was at in-form Birmingham and since then they have dismissed West Ham, Middlesbrough and Brighton away from home. Burnley have the second best away record winning 7 of 13 games whilst Forest have the worst home record in the division, winning only three times this season at the City ground. For those reasons, the 21/10 about Burnley is GOOD VALUE.

Wish I'd seen this before I placed my bet. I've gone for a £20 single on Watford 13/5.
...
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#14
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Man Utd/Man City double for me. £10 returns £25
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#15
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£10 on both teams to score - ipswich, leeds, southampton-49.72.£5 on cawley fgs @alloa-9/2.
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#16
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View PostMackMaster, on 31 January 2012 - 18:00, said:

Malky is doing an amazing job down here, the difference between him and Dave (Moans) Jones is unbelievable. Look at the stuff Bellamy is producing now and it certainly shows what a poor job Dave Jones did in managing our star filled squad last season.

My other bet's for interest tonight are.

Four Fould @ 19/1 - Birmingham, West Ham, Millwall, Alloa

BTTS / Goals Bet at 6/1 - Wolves v Liverpool YES, MK Dons v Sheff Weds YES, Southend v Swindon YES and Over 2.5 Goals in Barnsley vs Derby (10/11 tidy odds, Derby have tightened their back line but Barnsley can only play trying to outscore their opponents and 8 of their last 9 home fixtures have broken this barrier and their last 5 home games have seen at least 4 goals. Well worth a single backing in my opinion.)

Bale to score first vs Wigan @ 6/1

Good luck.


Will take that early on, Bale first scorer and a tenner single on Barnsley v Derby over 2.5, Wolves v Liverpool both need to score, might be the completely dodge one to feck up my bet as pointed out!
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#17
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View Postforehead7, on 31 January 2012 - 18:46, said:

£2 free BBTS on Southampton/Cardiff, Southend/Swindon, Swansea/Chelsea and Leeds/Birmingham returns 11.


Mucho pleasing.

View PostTurbo_dee, on 04 January 2012 - 09:39, said:

And that was not a good start, losing the Doctor at this stage of the game is pretty catastrophic, the Mafia will be creaming themselves after that kill. Particularly when the Doctor is as skilful a player as Forehead is.

View Postgordon the gopher, on 13 February 2012 - 13:11, said:

Aye Forehead does have an anger problem I feel
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#18
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Ooft. Noticed Blackpool were 1-0 down with 5 minutes to go so assumed my treble was humped, only to just see that they scored in the 87th and 94th minute to win 2-1. :D

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#19
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View PostMackMaster, on 31 January 2012 - 13:52, said:

First time poster, long time reader as I use this forum to try and sniff a bit of value and knowledge out of the Scottish games.

I am a Cardiff fan so my championship knowledge is my best asset, although I am a regular football and horse punter so thought it would be worthwhile to sign up here.


Welcome, always good to see a poster posting more than just lists of accumulators. 8)
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#20
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View Postbuddie06smfc, on 31 January 2012 - 19:10, said:

I've gone for a £20 single on Watford 13/5.

8) First time in ages Watford have done the business for me.
...
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#21
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Only bet I had on tonight was a lay of Nottingham Forest. Shat it out of the Burnley back (disappointed in myself for that decision), but still very easy money on the Forest lay. They're horrendous.
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#22
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#23
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View PostMackMaster, on 31 January 2012 - 18:00, said:

Malky is doing an amazing job down here, the difference between him and Dave (Moans) Jones is unbelievable. Look at the stuff Bellamy is producing now and it certainly shows what a poor job Dave Jones did in managing our star filled squad last season.

My other bet's for interest tonight are.

Four Fould @ 19/1 - Birmingham, West Ham, Millwall, Alloa

BTTS / Goals Bet at 6/1 - Wolves v Liverpool YES, MK Dons v Sheff Weds YES, Southend v Swindon YES and Over 2.5 Goals in Barnsley vs Derby (10/11 tidy odds, Derby have tightened their back line but Barnsley can only play trying to outscore their opponents and 8 of their last 9 home fixtures have broken this barrier and their last 5 home games have seen at least 4 goals. Well worth a single backing in my opinion.)

Bale to score first vs Wigan @ 6/1

Good luck.


Well done mate. Nice to have you on board. Always good to get a new set of valued opinions. :)
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#24
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View Postbuddie06smfc, on 31 January 2012 - 22:11, said:

8) First time in ages Watford have done the business for me.


What made you go for them? Prior to last night they had failed to score in 7 of their last 9 away games!!
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#25
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Another Burnley backer here. I couldn't get out of work in time to go to the game so spent what it would have cost me on a single. Was a bit worried when Rod missed a penalty at 1-0, thought the heads may go a bit.
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