[Naught A Chance]

Didnt see a thread for this so thought I'd start one.

I know its early but pre season is pish and Im bored so thought I would try and start up some form of discussion.

Im thinkin about both Peterhead to win the 3rd and Brechin to win the 2nd, probably put a bit on the single for each and a bit on a double of both.

Anyway, take it away...

[Cowden til i die]

Peterhead and Brechin double for me. Peterhead have signed a couple of decent 2nd division players - McBain and Redman that i kbow of -added to bits of existing quality. If they keep the likes of Sharp, Bavidge(getting on now) and Donald they have a good core of a team.

Brechin have so many offensive options its unreal and there is no stand out in the division. Both teams coming down will struggle due to finance issues. Forfar won't have as good a season IMO so it's Brechin and East Fife to shoot it out with Airdrie perhaps having something to say signings dependent.

No real value in the 1st. May have an each way double on Stenny and Morton.

[KieranClyde]

Celtic, Man United, Barcelona to win both la liga And champions league. Not put anything on yet but that's probably what I'll go for unless there's some huge transfers.

[HEY_SIDNEY]

Chelsea, Celtic, Porto, Ac Milan & Marseille....Leagues.

Dependent on Chelsea Manager its between them n Barcelona for CL....


same as kieran tho . . .all about transfers

[Naught A Chance]

May have to reconsider the Peterhead for the 3rd, Alloa have made some impressive signings and are rumoured to have the same budget as last season which was one of the best in the 2nd division.

[ShakehandsTom - DFC]

Pretty much as others have said already, it's Brechin and Alloa/Peterhead for me.

Probably a double, or might treble it up with Man Utd too.

To choose between Alloa and Peterhead depends on the rest of the signings, but if McAllister signs for Peterhead (as much as 'one man doesn't make a team' etc), they'll be very, very hard to stop.

[Lambies_Apprentice]

I can't see past Alloa and Brechin even at this early stage. I've stuck a 100 quid double on them at 3/1 and 5/2.

[Cowden til i die]

Lambies_Apprentice, on 15 June 2011 - 21:30, said:

I can't see past Alloa and Brechin even at this early stage. I've stuck a 100 quid double on them at 3/1 and 5/2.

May I ask why? They only have about 4 players signed and of that 4 only 1 is really a step above the 3rd.

[Lambies_Apprentice]

The signings they have made so far are a huge cry from what the rest of their league will bring in. One, Cawley was pretty prolific in the third, McCord turned down offers from quite a few teams in the 1st and 2nd division. Peterhead may well push them, but the rest of that league looks pretty poor in terms of quality and the money these teams will pay. I nearly even forgot Hartley will still probably play.

[Latino Lover]

Backed Man U last year on the basis that 11/4 was too big for a two horse race, this time around Chelsea are about the same price and I think possibly better value. I like the look of the new manager and they still have a better squad than Man U for me, plus they are obviously going to add to it. so tempted to get on early before price comes down.

[venga1]

Latino Lover, on 23 June 2011 - 11:06, said:

Backed Man U last year on the basis that 11/4 was too big for a two horse race, this time around Chelsea are about the same price and I think possibly better value. I like the look of the new manager and they still have a better squad than Man U for me, plus they are obviously going to add to it. so tempted to get on early before price comes down.

At this time the PL could be a tough 3 horse race with Chelsea and 2 Manchester's however Chelsea’s 1st 3 games in August I think are Stoke away, West Brom home and Norwich home - PP doing 11/4 on the to be top at end of August and VC 6/1 on AVB Manager of Month - invested in both

Torres 10/1 top scorer E/W top 4 1/4 odds also appeals - may wait to assess transfer activity though reckon Torres will be 1st choice mainstay next season regardless and AVB far more attack minded by all accounts

[Loki]

Peterhead will be a very good shout to win the Third next season. I might even dabble on County e/w as well. Although they have a chance to win the league, I think we will have too many games called off in the Winter to go on and win the league. Games are called off earlier to avoid us travelling or our opposition travelling. It creates a backlog that needs you to be injury and suspension free come March and April.

[Sir Richard]

Pretty chuffed with myself!!!

Took 7/2 for Peterheid on saturday and the price is in freefall!!!!
They have splashed the cash and will take a hell of a beating in this league.

Bet placed was: Brechin 11/4 Peterhead 7/2 £40 double
Peterhead 7/2 £60 single

Hopefully get the chance to lay them later in the season!

[palmy_cammy]

Can anybody point me in the direction of the First Division handicap market? With us being underestimated at 40/1 to win the league by most bookies I would hope they are being equally generous with the handicaps.

[GordieBoy80]

palmy_cammy, on 05 July 2011 - 14:02, said:

Can anybody point me in the direction of the First Division handicap market? With us being underestimated at 40/1 to win the league by most bookies I would hope they are being equally generous with the handicaps.

In my sig.

[palmy_cammy]

GordieBoy80, on 05 July 2011 - 14:16, said:

In my sig.

I can only find the each-way and outright prices?

[the jambo-rocker]

I was very curious about the bets in the third division this season. To me, I can see past any of queens park, peterhead or annan winning the league outright, so I took a look at the odds on bet 365.

Peterhead 15/8
Alloa 5/2
Queens Park 6/1

If I was to put £75 on between the I calculated that if I was to put on the following

£35.10 on Peterhead @ 15/8 = £100.91
£14.10 on Queens Park @ 6s = £98.70
£25.80 on Alloa @ 5/2 = £90.30

At a minimum of £25 quid profit should alloa win the league. Obviously this can be better calculated between the lot, but I think this could be a very decent tip to make some cash of the 3rd division this year.

Thoughts?

[C. Muir]

the jambo-rocker, on 05 July 2011 - 14:28, said:

I was very curious about the bets in the third division this season. To me, I can see past any of queens park, peterhead or annan winning the league outright, so I took a look at the odds on bet 365.

Peterhead 15/8
Alloa 5/2
Queens Park 6/1

If I was to put £75 on between the I calculated that if I was to put on the following

£35.10 on Peterhead @ 15/8 = £100.91
£14.10 on Queens Park @ 6s = £98.70
£25.80 on Alloa @ 5/2 = £90.30

At a minimum of £25 quid profit should alloa win the league. Obviously this can be better calculated between the lot, but I think this could be a very decent tip to make some cash of the 3rd division this year.

Thoughts?

My dad done the same at Wimbledon actually. The only three he thought that would have any chance of winning were Nadal, Federer and Djokovic. Nadal was favourite at 2/1, Federer 5/2 and Djokovic 10/3 or something like that. Anyway it worked out if you put the same amount on each of they three, if Nadal won you'd break even and if one of the other two won you'd be in profit. Turns out Djokovic (the 'outsider' if you like of they 3 going by the prices) won it.

Anyway, that's the top three I'd have too, although (pedantry), you said Annan initially instead of Alloa.

Personally I think Peterhead will win the league.

[vikingTON]

Still looking for stuff on the handicaps, as palmy was looking for earlier.

Have to say I'm being more and more drawn towards Morton as value, certainly each way, unless the odds have shortened considerably in the last month. We're building a strong squad in a weak league. What's the best prices now?

[C. Muir]

vikingTON, on 06 July 2011 - 13:34, said:

Still looking for stuff on the handicaps, as palmy was looking for earlier.

Have to say I'm being more and more drawn towards Morton as value, certainly each way, unless the odds have shortened considerably in the last month. We're building a strong squad in a weak league. What's the best prices now?

16/1 is the highest on offer with most bookmakers.

I cannot believe Dundee are favourites. Have they got any players?

[vikingTON]

C. Muir, on 06 July 2011 - 13:38, said:

16/1 is the highest on offer with most bookmakers.

I cannot believe Dundee are favourites. Have they got any players?

They'll probably have the best first choice defence in the league, but have no cover, an average midfield and need a Junior diddy and over-30 unfit has-beens like Milne and Bayne to score their goals.

They'll probably be somewhere in midtable, but presume bookies need to cover the fan money and the average punter looking at last season and thinking they're a shoo-in.

There's value in ourselves each-way and maybe Ross County outright. Queens or even Ayr if there are handicaps as it will be a tight league. Anyone who chooses Falkirk may as well hand their money straight to a junkie.

This post has been edited by vikingTON: 06 July 2011 - 14:24

[H_B]

I'll be waiting til after the first game of the season to place my bet. After I watched Dunfermline stroll past us on Day One last time out I plunged on them.

Div One will be a really hard one to call this season - I think Dundee will win it at the moment, but it's a collection of absolute shit.

Also, Falkirk won't do as badly as people seem to think. We will finish top half. I'll happily bet on that.

[ayrmad]

the jambo-rocker, on 05 July 2011 - 14:28, said:

I was very curious about the bets in the third division this season. To me, I can see past any of queens park, peterhead or annan winning the league outright, so I took a look at the odds on bet 365.

Peterhead 15/8
Alloa 5/2
Queens Park 6/1

If I was to put £75 on between the I calculated that if I was to put on the following

£35.10 on Peterhead @ 15/8 = £100.91
£14.10 on Queens Park @ 6s = £98.70
£25.80 on Alloa @ 5/2 = £90.30

At a minimum of £15 quid profit should alloa win the league. Obviously this can be better calculated between the lot, but I think this could be a very decent tip to make some cash of the 3rd division this year.

Thoughts?

Just put £100 x (8/23) on Peterhead
£100 x (1/7) on Queens Park
£100 x (2/7) on Alloa

[Latino Lover]

the jambo-rocker, on 05 July 2011 - 14:28, said:

I was very curious about the bets in the third division this season. To me, I can see past any of queens park, peterhead or annan winning the league outright, so I took a look at the odds on bet 365.

Peterhead 15/8
Alloa 5/2
Queens Park 6/1

If I was to put £75 on between the I calculated that if I was to put on the following

£35.10 on Peterhead @ 15/8 = £100.91
£14.10 on Queens Park @ 6s = £98.70
£25.80 on Alloa @ 5/2 = £90.30

At a minimum of £25 quid profit should alloa win the league. Obviously this can be better calculated between the lot, but I think this could be a very decent tip to make some cash of the 3rd division this year.

Thoughts?

You could make £15.00 a lot easier and quicker by opening new account and/or looking hard for arbs.

[Neilly]

the jambo-rocker, on 05 July 2011 - 14:28, said:

I was very curious about the bets in the third division this season. To me, I can see past any of queens park, peterhead or annan winning the league outright, so I took a look at the odds on bet 365
Peterhead 15/8
Alloa 5/2
Queens Park 6/1

If I was to put £75 on between the I calculated that if I was to put on the following
£35.10 on Peterhead @ 15/8 = £100.91
£14.10 on Queens Park @ 6s = £98.70
£25.80 on Alloa @ 5/2 = £90.30
Plans r mine 4 half 7 2 8. Beved then oot to toon at half 11 whos comein? win the league. Obviously this can be better calculated between the lot, but I think this could be a very decent tip to make some cash of the 3rd division this year.
Thoughts?

Why would you wait a full season for such a paltry return?

That's of course if one of those three win the league Annan are probably more likely than QP but difficult to see past Alloa or Peterhead I would agree.